1. US Treasury Bills (T-Bills): Short-term, zero-coupon US Government
securities with maturities up to one year, currently yielding around 5%.
They're seen as a lower-risk, higher-yield alternative to bank deposits.
Pros: low risk/volatility, stable returns.
Cons: lower return potential compared to other bond types.
Tips: split liquidity across different maturities.
2. US Treasury Bonds (T-Bonds): Longer-term US Gov securities with
maturities of up to 30 years.
Pros: safe, backed by the
US government.
Cons: sensitive to interest
rate changes; credit rating agencies have downgraded US Debt 1 notch below AAA
due to mounting US Gov debt ($34tn, 123% of GDP) and political instability.
Tips: focus on
long-term interest rate trends and inflation expectations.
3. Other Government Bonds: Issued by all governments, these can vary
widely in risk and return.
Pros: diversification; potentially higher yields
depending on the issuing country.
Cons: currency risk; political and economic stability risks.
Tips: assess the political and economic outlook of the issuing country.
4. Investment Grade Corporate Bonds: Issued by financially stable
companies, these are seen as a safer bet within the corporate bond market. US
IG Corp issuers are currently yielding 150-200bps (+1.5-2%) over T-Bonds.
Pros: higher yields vs government bonds; relatively low risk compared to
high-yield bonds.
Cons: subject to credit risk.
Tips: a high-level review of the issuer’s financials and industry trends.
5. High-Yield Bonds: These 'junk bonds' are issued by companies with
lower credit ratings (below BBB), offering higher yields to compensate for
increased risk. Issuers are often highly leveraged with various types of
debt.
Pros: potential for higher returns.
Cons: higher default risk; more volatile.
Tips: deep dive into issuer’s cash flows, ability to cover debt payments, and
refinancing options.
6. Distressed Bonds/Debt: Bonds from companies in financial trouble,
oftentimes in default, trading at 20%-40% of bond face value. These could
potentially return 3-5x the invested amount if the company manages to
financially recover / refinance / restructure its debt obligations and/or in
case of the bondholders enforcing on company’s assets / collateral / equity
and managing to sell it profitably.
Pros: highest potential return.
Cons: high risk of write-off, hard to underwrite.
Tips: understand the issuer’s cash flows, collateral, debt structure, bond
prospectus, who are the other bondholders etc. Be ready to participate in
bondholder meetings.
As you can see, bonds are far from being “boring”. They offer private investors a spectrum of opportunities, from the relative safety of “risk-free” US Treasury Bonds to the high-risk/reward distressed bonds. Thus, overlooking bonds could mean missing out on an important element for a more balanced, robust, and potentially profitable investment strategy.
What type of bonds do you have in your portfolio? Please share in the comments below.
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